COUNCIL tax bills could go through the roof next year if a provisional
Cabinet decision to rein back local government spending becomes final.
The Ministers responsible for local spending in Scotland, England, and
Wales are desperately fighting a proposal that the increase for 1993-94
should be limited to 2.75%.
This would leave them short of money for grants for local services and
open the way for soaring council tax bills for which the Government
would take the blame.
Scottish Office Ministers have already met to decide what to do if the
provisional decision stands.
They have the option of allocating a larger proportion of their total
block grant to cushion the tax and making deep cuts in other programmes
like health, roads, and education.
The alternative is a poll tax-type voter backlash as steep bills drop
through letter boxes.
Scottish Secretary Ian Lang, Environment Secretary Michael Howard, and
Welsh Secretary David Hunt have warned Cabinet colleagues that scrapping
the poll tax will avail the party nothing if its successor becomes
equally unpopular.
They argue that extra money is needed to ensure that those who were
gainers under the poll tax -- people living alone -- do not become
losers under the new tax. The argument will continue at this morning's
public spending Cabinet after a two-hour session yesterday and a four
and a half hour meeting on Monday night.
Although tomorrow's Cabinet is supposed to be the deadline for final
decisions, officials were conceding that Ministers might have to meet on
Friday or even over the weekend to finalise the package the Chancellor
of the Exchequer, Mr Norman Lamont, will present in his autumn statement
on November 12.
While Downing Street was emphasising even more strongly that the
Cabinet would limit total spending to the #244.5 billion target they set
themselves, it was emerging that the Chancellor will be including in his
statement a further number of measures allegedly outside the normal
public spending round.
This looks like the creative accounting which some in Whitehall and
Westminster were saying was the only way the Government could
technically stick to its target.
Government sources denied that the autumn statement would turn out to
be a mini-budget but it seems certain to break new ground in seeking to
attract more private money for public projects.
The new Cabinet system of round-the-table discussion of next year's
spending plans may be more open than the old one but it is proving more
protracted and some departmental bids have still not been considered.
Meanwhile, Building Employers' Confederation chairman Sir Brian Hill
warned Mr Major that the Cabinet public sending decisions were
''absolutely crucial'' to the construction industry.
He said that there was ''no second chance'' to put Britain on the road
to recovery and Mr Lamont's autumn statement must help construction,
boost the housing market, and cut interest rates ''substantially''.
Sir Brian added: ''If the right decisions are taken, construction can
lead the economy out of the recession.''
If the chance is missed, unemployment will continue to soar and the
recession in construction will get worse, he warned.
It was vital to go ahead with large construction projects such as the
London Underground extension to the Jubilee Line, but they were not
enough on their own. Other measures suggested included:
* A further substantial reduction in interest rates.
* Raising the threshold of mortgage tax relief, now #30,000, for a
limited time to get the housing market started.
* Lifting stamp duty from house purchases.
* Using local authority capital receipts to boost social housing
activity by Housing Associations, and the repair and maintenance of
public sector housing stock.
* Substantial repair and maintenance work on Britain's schools and
hospitals.
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